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Hurricane Lenny
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1- Unexpected, Unwanted

2- Frightning Catagory Five

3- Distressing Misery

4- Against Better Judgement

Unexpected, Unwanted
Hurricane Lenny
"Peter, there is a strange swell coming up from the South. And some wind as well."
Peter looks at Maaike in her yellow swimsuit that has a delicious slimming effect and swallow a lump in his throat. Swimsuits like that should be forbidden….
“Peter?”
The yacht is indeed rocking in an uncomfortable way.
"And the barometer?"
Maaike ticks against the glass: "Steady".
"Yeah... funny... We can ask one of the divers what it means”.
CrossRoads is anchored in front of the Anchorage Hotel on the Southwest coast of the island of Dominica. An unspoilt island sprinkled with volcanoes that are covered by the tropical rain forest and surrounded by the crystal clear waters of the Caribbean. Climbing volcanoes, diving and looking at whales are the biggest attractions of this paradise.
"No problem. It sometimes happens" Rocky tells us reassuringly.
"Does it have anything to do with Lenny?"
He doesn't know anything about the tropical depression number 16 that was born yesterday in the Caribbean area, which grew to a tropical storm in less than a day and was then christened hurricane Lenny.
    
Hurricane Lenny
"Where is it?"
"Yesterday it was at 15 degrees North and 76 West, So somewhere just below Jamaica."
He clicks his tongue for a moment and then says: "Tsjjj, Tsjj, Tsjj... poor Jamaica". And then to us: "This is the swell from the Northeast Trades that is arching around the island and then coming straight at us. Just like the wind..."

    

Reassured we have another cold beer with ice. Lenny is far away and according to the weather report from November 15 21.00 UTC it is moving away towards 17 North and 68 West. Indeed not across Jamaica nor Haiti, but it is moving in a north-easterly direction as it is supposed to towards the Dominican Republic or the island of Puerto Rico. The next day, the 16th, the American Coastguard is constantly adjusting the weather reports. At 03.00 UTC Lenny is 15.2 North and 73.0 West and the weather guru's all assure that it will move to 18 North and 67 West. At 12.00 UTC the bitch is at 15.3 North and 69.8 but don’t worry, it will slowly disappear towards the West. Painful thoughts. Th pressure of the hurricane is dissipating. Within 12 hours it went from 982 to 965 millibars. The wind is also rising. From 75 to 90 knots yesterday to 100 to 120 knots today. And Lenny moves East!
"Do you think everything will be alright."
The swimming suit isn't at ease.
"Be happy, Lenny will move to the Northeast at any moment".
"And if it doesn't?"
Typical female intuitive suspicion causes me to stroll over to my nav station to check on the very last weather reports. Let's have a look. We are tied to a mooring at 15.16 North and 61.22 West. The distance to Lenny is... shit, only 450 miles the most!! And against the rules the bastard is moving steadily in an Easterly direction at a speed of 14 knots. Let's just calculate this…. In 11 hours we will just 300 miles away from the core and will definitely feel its presence. No good man, no good!!


Exactly one minute later we stand in front of Andrew Armour, the manager of the Anchorage Hotel. He points at the computer forecast lying on his desk. "There is a chance that we will be hit…."
We take a good look at the print out and our mood doesn't improve. There is no way anyone can predict which direction Lenny will head. Its route will go anywhere between Puerto Rico and Dominica.
Maybe over St Croix, the Virgin Islands and Saint Maarten.
“This afternoon at four I will decide if the boats that the divers use should be put ashore."
We look at Armour in fright. "Even if Lenny passes at a distance of 300 miles I expect a metres high swell and huge breaking waves."
Peter Stuivenberg
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